On October 24, Turkish F-15 fighter attacked and shot down a Russian bomber SU-24 (NATO reporting name Fencer).
Two pilots catapulted- but were shot from the ground by a rebel group of Turkmen( Syrian Turks, a third ethnic group in Syria after Arabs and Kurds, actively supported by Turkey ). One of the pilots was shot dead, and second was saved in the course of the Russian rescue operation that lasted 12 hours and cost a life to a Russian Marine.
Turkey hurried to accuse Russians of violating Turkish airspace and solemnly declared that what it did was correct, that this fate would await anyone who would dare to attack Turkish sovereignty, that Turkey , as a country- member of NATO committed to the basic principles of this Organization, would always be ready to feign off any attack, and similar diplomatic blah-blah-blah…
We remember that on October 3, Russian military jet did enter Turkish airspace and stayed there two minutes , and that Russian immediately acknowledged it, officially apologized and pledged it would not happen again. However, this time Russian reaction was absolutely different. Russia bluntly rejected the accusation of violating Turkish airspace, and did it in a language diplomats classify as “insulting”. The mildest what Russians said were Putin´s words that Turkey treacherously backstabbed Russia, that Russia “was taking this incident very seriously”, and that it would not leave this provocation unanswered. Other Russian officials were less cautious in choosing words, and did not hesitate to reveal very unpleasant for the Turkish President facts : that Erdogan is one of the leaders of the Islamic terrorist organization “Muslim Brotherhood”, that Turkey is supplying ISIS through its affiliated and supported by official Ankara groups with arms, that Turkey allows a free pass through its border to the jihadists who want to join ISIS, that Turkey is buying oil from ISIS and that Erdogan´s son Bilal made millions of dollars on these operations, that Erdogan´s daughter runs an elite military hospital where wounded ISIS bandits receive medical treatment and recover from their wounds…
Actually, Russians accused Turkey of being a State which supported ISIS in particular and Islamic terrorism in general.
What is sad is that it´s all true; a country – member of NATO and a candidate for joining European Union is an accomplice of ISIS.
However, with NATO behind him, Erdogan felt very sure. A Turkish envoy was sent to NATO´s Headquarters , and… What he met there was a true cold shower.
After Turkish envoy could not give a single proof in support of Turkish official statement that Russian SU-24 had been attacked and shot down because it violated Turkish airspace, after NATO could not even elaborate a unanimous position on the incident and after key members of NATO, like Germany and France, made it clear that in their opinion, Turkey should urgently straighten the situation and contact Russians directly, Erdogan and his poodle Prime Minister changed tune: Russia all of a sudden , in a wink, became “friend and neighbor”, and Turkish highest officials started to narrate to the puzzled world about how they appreciated Russian friendship, how they did not want any escalation and how, as Erdogan himself said, they did not even know that jet was Russian.
However, Russians were implacable. Just hours after the treacherous Turkish attack, Kremlin announced that:
“First: from now on, all sorties of the Russian bombers will be realized under the cover of Russian fighters.”
Of course, how not! For a pure fighter like F-16 it´s a sheer pleasure to attack an awkward bomber like SU-24, but I am sure Turkish pilots will not feel so nice and relaxed in a “dog fight” with Russian MIG-29 or SU-27. But it seriously increases the probability of a direct conflict between Turkey and Russia. However, this clause was roses compared with what followed.
“Second: Measures will be taken to strengthen anti-aerial defence. With this goal, missile cruiser “Moscow” equipped with anti-aerial complexes “Fort”( a naval analogue of the S-300) will be deployed in the coastal area of Latakia.
We warn that ALL TARGETS which represent a POTENTIAL DANGER for us will be destroyed.
Third: All military contacts with Turkey will be cut off.”
If someone does not understand the military meaning of this statement: words that all POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS targets will be destroyed means simply that Russians will attack anything they think can be a danger without previous warning, even if this “anything” is situated on Turkish territory. And the cut- off of any military contacts makes impossible any explanations that what´s crawling on Turkish territory, from sand lizards to tanks, or flying over it , from May beetles to Turkish F-16, is not “potentially dangerous” to Russians.
Such things are done and such words are said in a pre-war situation. Now every wrong move can trigger a very serious conflict, and a perspective of a military one-on-one, without NATO, clash with Russia would make nervous any leader of any country, especially if your fighter shot down a Russian military plane out of your country´s airspace. If it is so, then Turkey is an aggressor, and NATO will have problems to stand on Turkish side even if such a wild idea occurs to some Western “hawks”.
Turkey started to hurriedly compose a story. On October 25, an official newspaper of the Turkish Government Hurryet published a record of the “warnings” Turkish military control tower supposedly sent to Russian pilots of SU-24
But as almost anything that´s done in a hurry, what was supposed to be a proof in favor of the Turkish version turned out to be a proof against it.
“Unknown air traffic position to Humaynim 020, radial 26 miles .This is Turkish Air Force speaking on guard. You are approaching Turkish airspace Change your heading south immediately.”
Turks say they sent 10 such warnings to Russian bomber, repeating them every 30 seconds, and that the first one was sent when SU-24 was 30 miles(48km) from the Turkish border. Experts immediately calculated, that the total time for sending 10 warnings was 5 minutes. SU-24, whose cruise speed is 750miles/hour (1200 km/hour ), would have passed the distance to the Turkish border in two minutes 30 seconds, and in five minutes, it would have been 50 km inside Turkish airspace. Did the Turks send warnings of “You are approaching Turkish airspace” to a plane who already was 50 kilometers inside it? And how could this plane fall where it actually fell: one kilometer from Turkish border on the territory of Syria?
And finally, Turks say there were10 warnings of “Your are APPROACHING Turkish border”; but where is a usual warning of “you´ve entered Turkish airspace. Leave immediately or you will be attacked”? The only possible explanation to all this Turkish story is that it´s a clumsily fabricated lie and Russian plane DID NOT enter Turkish airspace.
In this case, all pieces of the puzzle immediately fall in their places: Erdogan, who was happily getting millions from buying ISIS oil and supplying IIS with weapons, went mad when Russians started to attack ISIS oil tanks in the area where Ankara-supported Turkmen Islamic groups ( who had their share of the pie) “heroically fought ISIS”. Being confident he had NATO on his side, he ordered to attack a Russian plane which was taking money from his personal pocket, hoping this attack would make Russians stop or at least reduce the number of their aerial strikes and being sure Putin would not dare to strike back on a country-member of NATO.